The commercial property-casualty marketplace is holding steady thus far in 2013. The market is in a positive, rate increase environment. It evolved to this point throughout 4Q11 and 2012 and in general terms is holding at a 5-7% rate increase in commercial lines. Investment yields continue to decline while catastrophe-related results worsen for insurers, so it is quite likely that rate increases will continue in 2013. Insurers are also facing challenges on certain lines of coverage notably workers’ compensation. Overstated reserves from prior years have been released which tends to temporarily help earnings, and with medical inflation eroding workers’ compensation loss ratios underwriters will focus on pricing integrity and risk selection. Employers with hazardous workers’ compensation exposures and claims experience will see the highest rate increases.
Meanwhile, insurers have the surplus to grow. Rate actions, while positive, are not enough to allow the industry to cover its cost of capital. Thus, underwriters will continue to look at developing market share which will create competition as the economy continues its fight to fully emerge from the recession.
